Climatic changes and my hypothesis.. [I am no scientist and its just my logic]

Last night as soon as I hit the bed, I had the most engrossing thought.. I love to think a lot and visualise it too. What was I thinking.. You'll roll laughing the moment you'll know the extent of my thinking and visualisation.. I was wondering about the sudden change in the climate..

Everyday in the newspaper, this concern over erratic rains and the sudden change in climate is voiced.. The prime focus of everyone, whoever wants to show he/she is important and thinkful, is the climatic changes.. The actors, socialites, fashion designers and the politicians [the finance minister and the home minister and many more] are all talking about it.. No, I am not trying to show off by talking about it.. I am seriously concerned and the extent of my thinking would make you believe, but it may sound funny to some though..

The entire scientist community across the globe is trying to understand these changes, their extent, their impact and ways to revert them.. I was reading in the newspaper that with these erratic and unpredictable rains we are in for grain shortage.. Rice is the staple food grain and we are expecting a fall in the production of the grain because of scanty rains this year.. So we are to import some millions of tonnes of rice [that's the concern of the finance minister and later ours].. The water level in all the major reservoirs is also less than 41%, which indicates a water shortage and a fall in the electricity production too in the near future.. Oh!! what a ghastly picture..

But, the recent downpour did bring in some relief.. The level of water in the reservoirs have risen to 45% and a few more days of rain can ensure good supply for the year.. The recent rains are good for the Kharif crops and would thus ensure a better production.. This year Indian mainland received 19% less rainfall and thus there is 20% decline in the overall production of Kharif crops, but the recent rains have salvaged the standing kharif crop.. The rains start receding by 1 September but these rains have not only helped the kharif crops but yet to be sown Rabi crops.. Thus, we are expecting enough of wheat now..

Too much of data for you to handle?

Well, what I was thinking last night is not these figures, of course they disturb me sometimes, but hope things will be fine.. I was analysing the climatic changes recently.. Last year the winters came in a little too late.. Then they lasted a little after Holi.. So the summers too arrived late and then the rains were late and they aren't receding [thank god! they aren't..] so soon now.. Thus I concluded that the change is just in terms of time shift and not duration shift.. Thus, I imagined myself presenting my theory in a conference covered by the global media..

My Hypothesis..

As we all know that the Earth's tilt is responsible for different seasons we have.. The equator thus doesn't experience no winters and almost daily rains.. While Antartic and Artic are just so unbearably cold.. So my theory revolves around this central concept.. I was wondering if it were to do something with the Earth's tilt..

The obliquity of the ecliptic is not a fixed quantity but changing over time in a cycle with a period of 41,000 years. It is a very slow effect known as nutation, and at the level of accuracy at which astronomers work, does need to be taken into account on a daily basis. Note that the obliquity and the precession of the equinoxes are calculated from the same theory and are thus related to each other.. [Source - Wikipedia]

Moreover it was there in the newspaper too some years ago during excavation in the ancient world Mesopotamia.. [I know I read a lot of newspaper]..

I thus made earth's tilt the culprit in my theory.. Its a quite thought of hypothesis.. So I took upon the task of finding more about my hypothesis and found this..

http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn17657-global-warming-could-change-earths-tilt.html

An excerpt:-

Warming oceans could cause Earth's axis to tilt in the coming century, a new study suggests. The effect was previously thought to be negligible, but researchers now say the shift will be large enough that it should be taken into account when interpreting how the Earth wobbles.

We need to conserve the environment and maybe we could slow down the process though dreaming of reverting the change is a fantasy..

By the way, congratulate me on arriving at the conclusion of the study while I was trying to sleep.. I can't be credited for it, but still I have a brain to come up with this.. [:)]

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